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2014-06-12 at 10:37

Liberals win majority

Ontario Liberal leader Kathleen Wynne casts her ballot in Toronto on Thursday June 12, 2014
Frank Gunn, The Canadian Press
Ontario Liberal leader Kathleen Wynne casts her ballot in Toronto on Thursday June 12, 2014
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Colin Perkel, The Canadian Press

TORONTO - Kathleen Wynne led Ontario's Liberals past a legacy of scandal Thursday, staving off aggressive assaults from the Progressive Conservatives and New Democrats to cruise to a fourth straight mandate and an unexpected majority.

Despite a hard-fought campaign that saw accusations of corruption and incompetence hurled at her minority Liberals, Wynne managed to persuade jaundiced voters to give her government another chance.

"I've said it before and I'll say it again: the word Liberal is not just letters on a lawn sign," Wynne wrote in an email to supporters after the polls closed.

"It is the generosity of spirit that defines us at our best — and so do you."

The ballots were counted amid a palpable sense of uncertainty as to whether or not the snap election, called more than a month ago, would yield a decisive result.

Defying almost all predictions, Wynne earned a convincing win both in the popular vote and the number of seats, paving the way for her Liberals to govern on their own.

One thing the polls got right was a dismal performance from the NDP, which looked poised to finish a distant third. The Liberals were well ahead of the Tories in the popular vote as well.

Preliminary results put the Liberals at 58 seats, Tim Hudak's Conservatives at 28 seats and the New Democrats at 21 At dissolution in the 107-seat legislature, the Liberals held 48 seats, the Tories 37 and the NDP 21, with one seat vacant.

Stony-faced tension at Liberal headquarters in Toronto gradually gave way to excitement and delight as it became clear the Liberals had taken the night.

Millions of voters had spent the day casting judgment on the scandal-plagued minority Liberal government under Wynne, who was seeking her first mandate as party leader.

Polls suggested an exceptionally tight race was in the offing. But as the results came in, it became apparent that Wynne had made her case for a renewed Liberal mandate by promising a fiscally responsible but progressive government.

Wynne spent much of the campaign staving off attacks related to decisions made by her predecessor Dalton McGuinty, which included the cancellation of two gas plants at an estimated cost to the public of $1.1 billion.

Both Hudak and Horwath were relentless in branding the Liberals as corrupt and incapable of fiscal responsibility, pointing to the province's $12.5-billion deficit.

Their campaigns, however, were anything but plain sailing.

Hudak ran into trouble with his pledge to create one million jobs — widely panned by economists as based on faulty math — and his promise to cut 100,000 public sector jobs at a time the provincial economy is sputtering.

Yet he persisted, positioning himself as the only plain-speaking leader ready to tell voters what they needed to hear, not what they wanted to hear.

"It's only fair to be straight with people about the need to rein in the cost and size of government instead of making expensive campaign promises that can't be kept," Hudak said.

The New Democrats, offering a grab-bag of pocketbook promises such as lower hydro rates and auto-insurance bills, appeared to throw Wynne a lifeline as Horwath tilted her party distinctly to the right.

It was Horwath who triggered the $90-million, 40-day campaign by refusing to support the minority Liberal budget many observers called the most progressive in the province's recent history.

As a result, Wynne fought back by arguing her party was the only option for Liberal and New Democrat voters worried that a Hudak government would be a throwback to the days of former Tory premier Mike Harris, whose time in office in the mid- to late 1990s was marred by labour and education unrest.

She promised a provincial retirement savings plan along the lines of the Canada Pension Plan along with investments in education and transportation.

A vote for the NDP, Wynne insisted in the last week of the campaign, would be a vote for Hudak.

"If people don't vote for our plan, then Tim Hudak will be the premier, because it is a tight enough race that that is what will happen," said Wynne, who took over as premier 16 months ago.

Horwath scorned Wynne's overtures to NDP supporters, arguing voters didn't have to choose between the "corrupt" Liberals and the Tories' "crazy" platform.

The campaign grew more petulant as it wound down, with the leaders accusing their rivals of fearmongering and mudslinging while arguing they were presenting a positive message.

More than 9.2 million people were eligible to cast ballots but political observers predicted a low turnout — perhaps below 2011, when a record low of 48.2 per cent of eligible voters cast ballots.

 

The Canadian Press
© The Canadian Press, 2014

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Comments

We've improved our comment system.
musicferret says:
To everyone saying that Ipsos Reid is a great polling company and to trust them on the events centre take a look at their poll from just before the election. It was by far the farthest off the mark of all polls conducted in the 2 weeks before the election. I wouldn't trust them to count a cup of beans.
http://www.ipsos-na.com/news-polls/pressrelease.aspx?id=6532
6/12/2014 10:06:32 PM
grs says:
And this is relavent to a news story about the liberals winning.....how exactly?
6/12/2014 10:31:09 PM
Tiredofit says:
Perhaps he's referring to the fact that this is the same company that said we a full support for the mistake by the lake.
6/13/2014 6:22:34 AM
ring of fire dude says:
Collusion , corruption and cronyism brought on by the people who use ipsos to further their agendas .
6/13/2014 7:31:43 AM
musicferret says:
Just a general comment on the accuracy of the polls ipsos comes out with.
You may not like it, but it is certainly relevant both to this election and the fairly surprising outcome, as well as our situation here in the city where a poll by Ipsos is basically being used to decide that 60% of people want the events centre.
6/13/2014 7:45:02 AM
fastball says:
It's not like they're sitting in a dark room gazing into a crystal ball for their answers. They're merely tabulating what their responders are telling them at the time.
I voted with a group of people tonight...and most of us made up our minds pretty much at the ballot station. I didn't want to vote Liberal - but Hudak scared me off and Horvath was an idiot for calling an election in the first place.
So I'm suggesting that a lot of people made up their minds to vote the way they did at the last minute.

6/12/2014 11:41:14 PM
progress now says:
Thanks for that. I think there is another poll that makes your point even better, and I will look for it tomorrow.

Good point. Bang on!
6/12/2014 11:46:32 PM
Cletus Van Damme says:
Well it better be accurate!

It cost you tax payers $40,000, and They called 1000 people.

So you paid them $40.00 each time they pressed 7 buttons and read a 1 page script.

Great deal!
6/13/2014 8:51:03 AM
conker2012 says:
The Ipsos polls were not that far off. Their polls determined the percentage of voters who would support each party. They predicted as per your post Lib 33%, PC 31%, NDP 30%, OTH 6% of decided voters. The actual share of the vote was very close at Lib 39%, PC 31% (bang on), NDP 24%, OTHs 6% (yet again perfect prediction).

This is actually very bad for your argument that ipsos should be trusted. These results actually strength the credibility of the ipsos for the EC poll.

you are just another sad troll grasping at straws.

Nice try though.
6/13/2014 8:57:39 AM
TBDR says:
Clearly someone doesn't understand polling or elections...
6/13/2014 9:38:37 AM
Tbaylifer 1 says:
I believe this election was more about keeping the conservatives out rather then putting the liberals in. Scammers verses the axe man.
6/13/2014 6:26:11 AM
orca says:
This just shows you the best survey is the plebiscite, no more no less.
6/13/2014 7:22:52 AM
Dockboy says:
What an unneccessary election and a waste of 90 million dollars.
6/13/2014 8:55:09 AM
OdieCleghorn says:
I can only assume the messages from the regular PC supporters are too R rated for TBnewswatch at the moment. Who would have guessed a platform based on 100,000 job cuts and bigger class sizes for children would not work...lol
6/13/2014 9:46:21 AM
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