THUNDER BAY — Weather conditions in the Thunder Bay area this month have been remarkably consistent with long-term averages, but that trend should end in July.
Environment Canada's analysis of long-term forecast models points to above-normal temperatures for the city in the next month.
"There is a high probability of being above the climatology for maximum temperatures and mean temperatures," Environment and Climate Change Canada spokesperson Alexandra Cournoyer said Monday.
According to a forecast map produced by The Weather Network, Thunder Bay is situated right on a line separating a zone of "well above normal" from an area of predicted "above normal" temperatures this summer.
Cournoyer said forecast models also point to the likelihood of rainfall being normal in the city in July.
The average daily maximum temperature in June was 22 C, virtually identical to the long-term normal for the month.
Rainfall in June totalled 83 mm, just three millimetres less than normal.
Some residents may have felt it was a rather wet month, Cournoyer said, but she noted that more than half the monthly precipitation measured at Thunder Bay Airport fell in just two days, on June 16 and 17.
"That might have given people the impression there was a lot of rain, but when you do the average with the rest of the month, it's really following the normal."
Environment Canada data showed that last year was the warmest year in Thunder Bay in the modern era.